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dscow1980
Mar 15, 2011, 6:09 AM
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So for my stats class I taking a survey to determine the percentage of climbers, who have been climbing for more than 2 years, that have lead (trad or sport) a 5.12 (indoors or outdoors). If you dont mind answering these 4 questions I would greatly appricate it. It should only take a minute. I need 100 replies to do my project. Thanks. Question One. Do you lead climb? (trad or sport) Question Two. Have you been lead climbing for more than two years? Question Three. Have you ever lead a 5.12? (indoor or gym) Question Four. What is the hardest route you have ever lead? Thanks again for your help, I think it will be interesting to see how many people have been lead climbing for more than two years that have ever lead a 5.12.
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jt512
Mar 15, 2011, 6:16 AM
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dscow1980 wrote: So for my stats class I taking a survey to determine the percentage of climbers, who have been climbing for more than 2 years, that have lead (trad or sport) a 5.12 (indoors or outdoors). If you dont mind answering these 4 questions I would greatly appricate it. It should only take a minute. I need 100 replies to do my project. Thanks. Well, this is an improvement. Whatever you do, don't give us "assholes" any credit.
In reply to: Question One. Do you lead climb? (trad or sport) Yes.
In reply to: Question Two. Have you been lead climbing for more than two years? Yes.
In reply to: Question Three. Have you ever lead a 5.12? (indoor or gym) Yes.
In reply to: Question Four. What is the hardest route you have ever lead? 5.13a.
In reply to: Thanks again for your help, I think it will be interesting to see how many people have been lead climbing for more than two years that have ever lead a 5.12. Well, this poll won't allow you to answer that question, but I guess that's part of the learning process. Jay
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gosharks
Mar 15, 2011, 8:09 AM
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yes yes yes 13a Good luck with making something out of this...
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iknowfear
Mar 15, 2011, 9:45 AM
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dscow1980 wrote: So for my stats class I taking a survey to determine the percentage of climbers, who have been climbing for more than 2 years, that have lead (trad or sport) a 5.12 (indoors or outdoors). If you dont mind answering these 4 questions I would greatly appricate it. It should only take a minute. I need 100 replies to do my project. Thanks. Question One. Do you lead climb? (trad or sport) yes
In reply to: Question Two. Have you been lead climbing for more than two years? yes
In reply to: Question Three. Have you ever lead a 5.12? (indoor or gym) yes. (note: to me indoor or gym sounds like this, but what do I know...
In reply to: Question Four. What is the hardest route you have ever lead? 5.12b (7b)
In reply to: Thanks again for your help, I think it will be interesting to see how many people have been lead climbing for more than two years that have ever lead a 5.12.
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sungam
Mar 15, 2011, 12:07 PM
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yes yes yes 7a+ (.12a)
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lena_chita
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Mar 15, 2011, 12:07 PM
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dscow1980 wrote: Question One. Do you lead climb? (trad or sport). Yes
dscow1980 wrote: Question Two. Have you been lead climbing for more than two years?. Yes
dscow1980 wrote: Question Three. Have you ever lead a 5.12? (indoor or gym). Yes. I am assuming you mean outdoor or gym. I have never led a gym 5.12.
dscow1980 wrote: Question Four. What is the hardest route you have ever lead? . Led -- 5.12c. Redpointed-- 5.12a. Not sure if you care, or know, about the difference.
dscow1980 wrote: Thanks again for your help, I think it will be interesting to see how many people have been lead climbing for more than two years that have ever lead a 5.12. I don't think you would get accurate representation, or anything meaningful at all, but good luck. Edited b/c I realized that all my ' 12b's" have been down-graded to .12a.
(This post was edited by lena_chita on Mar 15, 2011, 3:50 PM)
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sungam
Mar 15, 2011, 12:09 PM
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lena_chita wrote: I don't think you would get accurate representation, or anything meaningful at all, but good luck. Yes, there will clearly be a flood of posters coming in and letting everybody know that they don't climb .12.
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csproul
Mar 15, 2011, 1:00 PM
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lena_chita wrote: dscow1980 wrote: Question One. Do you lead climb? (trad or sport). Yes dscow1980 wrote: Question Two. Have you been lead climbing for more than two years?. Yes dscow1980 wrote: Question Three. Have you ever lead a 5.12? (indoor or gym). Yes. I am assuming you mean outdoor or gym. I have never led a gym 5.12. dscow1980 wrote: Question Four. What is the hardest route you have ever lead? . Led -- 5.12c. Redpointed-- 5.12b. Not sure if you care, or know, about the difference. dscow1980 wrote: Thanks again for your help, I think it will be interesting to see how many people have been lead climbing for more than two years that have ever lead a 5.12. I don't think you would get accurate representation, or anything meaningful at all, but good luck. I'll assume this means that you led the 12c with some hangs? Unless I know they are talking about aiding, when someone tells me they led something, I usually assume they did so cleanly, without falls, hanging, or pulling on gear (I know...I'm not primarily a sport climber). If we're counting aid climbing, I've "led" in the high 13's. Not trying to be difficult, I was truly confused by what you wrote, as I'm sure the OP was. Anyway, I'll answer your questions: Yes Yes No 11c
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Tipton
Mar 15, 2011, 1:01 PM
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sungam wrote: lena_chita wrote: I don't think you would get accurate representation, or anything meaningful at all, but good luck. Yes, there will clearly be a flood of posters coming in and letting everybody know that they don't climb .12. Yes Yes No 11a Take that Sungam! I love statistics, and that most people don't understand them...
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jo247
Mar 15, 2011, 1:06 PM
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dscow1980 wrote: Question One. Do you lead climb? (trad or sport) Question Two. Have you been lead climbing for more than two years? Question Three. Have you ever lead a 5.12? (indoor or gym) Question Four. What is the hardest route you have ever lead? 1) Yes, sport (trad soon ! :) ) 2) yes, 8 years actually. 3) No, sadly. 4) 5.11+ , indoor
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Kartessa
Mar 15, 2011, 1:07 PM
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Tipton wrote: sungam wrote: lena_chita wrote: I don't think you would get accurate representation, or anything meaningful at all, but good luck. Yes, there will clearly be a flood of posters coming in and letting everybody know that they don't climb .12. Yes Yes No 11a Take that Sungam! I love statistics, and that most people don't understand them... Yes Yes No 11b That makes 2 of us!
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shoo
Mar 15, 2011, 1:22 PM
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dscow1980 wrote: So for my stats class I taking a survey to determine the percentage of climbers, who have been climbing for more than 2 years, that have lead (trad or sport) a 5.12 (indoors or outdoors). If you dont mind answering these 4 questions I would greatly appricate it. It should only take a minute. I need 100 replies to do my project. Thanks. Question One. Do you lead climb? (trad or sport) Question Two. Have you been lead climbing for more than two years? Question Three. Have you ever lead a 5.12? (indoor or gym) Question Four. What is the hardest route you have ever lead? Thanks again for your help, I think it will be interesting to see how many people have been lead climbing for more than two years that have ever lead a 5.12. Please tell me that the topic you are being taught jn your stats class is sampling bias. There is no way in hell you are going to get even remotely close to a generalizable statistic in this format. But just to play along: Yes Yes Yes 12b
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chadnsc
Mar 15, 2011, 1:30 PM
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Yes Yes No 5.11
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jbro_135
Mar 15, 2011, 1:41 PM
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occasionally no yes .12 indoors/11c outdoors
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swoopee
Mar 15, 2011, 1:43 PM
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yes yes
yes no 5.8 Oops, I guess I should read the questions before answering.
(This post was edited by swoopee on Mar 15, 2011, 6:55 PM)
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chilli
Mar 15, 2011, 1:44 PM
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1. yes - both 2. yes 3. yes - both (more indoors but i'm more inclined to count indoor as exercise rather than a milestone/marker - even though some of those feel harder for the rating than some outdoor routes) 4. 12b's sport outside clean, but never onsight. much lower on trad. (lots of luck trying to get back to that point anytime soon - come to think of it, maybe i should start another "help! my climbing strength has dropped and plateaued!" thread about that..)
(This post was edited by chilli on Mar 15, 2011, 1:51 PM)
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sungam
Mar 15, 2011, 2:16 PM
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swoopee wrote: yes yes yes 5.8 Wat?
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lena_chita
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Mar 15, 2011, 2:25 PM
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csproul wrote: [I'll assume this means that you led the 12c with some hangs? Unless I know they are talking about aiding, when someone tells me they led something, I usually assume they did so cleanly, without falls, hanging, or pulling on gear (I know...I'm not primarily a sport climber). If we're counting aid climbing, I've "led" in the high 13's. Not trying to be difficult, I was truly confused by what you wrote, as I'm sure the OP was. Maybe I am wrong about this, but when someone says that they led a route, to me it simply means climbing with the belayer at the bottom, clipping the rope as you go, e.i. without TR. Sending, or redpointing/flashing means leading cleanly. But hangdog is still a lead. And if you didn't pull on any gear while hangdogging, then I don't think it qualifies as aid. If someone says that they've "done the route" to me it means that they have led it cleanly, without hangs. But if someone says that they led a route, the next sentence could very well be "I led it, but didn't do it clean." Probably isn't important, anyway.
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ENARE
Mar 15, 2011, 2:32 PM
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Yes; Sport Yes No 5.10a
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happiegrrrl
Mar 15, 2011, 2:36 PM
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Question One. Do you lead climb? (trad or sport) Yes, traditional climbing(though I would clip when presented with the opportunity) Question Two. Have you been lead climbing for more than two years?yes Question Three. Have you ever lead a 5.12? (indoor or gym)no. ohhhh, wait - this is about GYM climbing? Then why have you asked if we lead traditional and sport climbing, and not jusy GYM crap in your Q1? Question Four. What is the hardest route you have ever lead? Indoors? I have never led in a gym. Outside, 5.8
(This post was edited by happiegrrrl on Mar 15, 2011, 2:43 PM)
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kennoyce
Mar 15, 2011, 2:59 PM
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Yes Yes Yes 13b lead, 12c redpoint (neither of which were recent)
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milesenoell
Mar 15, 2011, 3:02 PM
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shoo wrote: Please tell me that the topic you are being taught jn your stats class is sampling bias. There is no way in hell you are going to get even remotely close to a generalizable statistic in this format. I'd guess the self report bias isn't quite as bad as asking parents if their kids are of above average intelligence... but just to play along, yes, both yes no 5.10+
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kaizen
Mar 15, 2011, 3:04 PM
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dscow1980 wrote: Question One. Do you lead climb? (trad or sport) yes - both
In reply to: Question Two. Have you been lead climbing for more than two years? no
In reply to: Question Three. Have you ever lead a 5.12? (indoor or gym) yes - never lead in a gym
In reply to: Question Four. What is the hardest route you have ever lead? 5.12c redpoint, 5.12d hangdog
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billcoe_
Mar 15, 2011, 3:07 PM
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1) yes 2) yes 3) yes -outdoors, never even close in a gym and these days when I do lead in the gym it's @ 5.9 max and @5.10 trad outdoors. 4) 12a - crack
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no_email_entered
Mar 15, 2011, 3:10 PM
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no no no no... ....and no.
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redonkulus
Mar 15, 2011, 3:18 PM
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Yes, Sport No Yes .12a
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sungam
Mar 15, 2011, 3:20 PM
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sungam wrote: swoopee wrote: yes yes yes 5.8 Wat? This is seriously wigging me out. HE BROKE CLIMBING GRADES.
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camhead
Mar 15, 2011, 3:25 PM
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The original wording of the question was just weak. He could have avoided this whole "lead versus send" thing by saying "what is your hardest send?" As it stands, someone can say that they "led but didn't send" a given climb, and it could mean that they one-hung it, or that it was an involved epic involving whips, takes, tension, tying off, and hauling up the stickclip. And if you "led" a 13a, but didn't send it, shouldn't you say it was 11+ A0? Bottom line, the OP is talking about free climbing (both trad and sport), free climbing denotes an entire pitch done cleanly. So stick to what you've sent, not what you've aided. grumble grumble grumble.
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cornstateclimber
Mar 15, 2011, 3:26 PM
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yes yes yes 5.12, although didnt do it cleanly, infact was more ugly but dammit i made it! so 11c
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boymeetsrock
Mar 15, 2011, 3:58 PM
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yes yes no 10+
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cracklover
Mar 15, 2011, 4:46 PM
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yes yes yes 12c redpoint (12b os) GO
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dont.trip
Mar 15, 2011, 4:52 PM
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yes yes yes .13c
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adam14113
Mar 15, 2011, 4:53 PM
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yes yes yes 12.C RP, couple of 12.a OSs but those probably don't count because they were at Jack's :p
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shockabuku
Mar 15, 2011, 5:23 PM
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dscow1980 wrote: Question One. Do you lead climb? (trad or sport) Yes. Question Two. Have you been lead climbing for more than two years? Yes. Question Three. Have you ever lead a 5.12? (indoor or gym) I assume that means cleanly? Yes. Question Four. What is the hardest route you have ever lead? 5.12a.
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neverwalk
Mar 15, 2011, 5:40 PM
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yes yes yes 5.12c/d Trad, Onsite. Sport as well, same grade. Go figure. Placing gear or clipping bolts, no difference for me.
(This post was edited by neverwalk on Mar 15, 2011, 11:31 PM)
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olderic
Mar 15, 2011, 5:45 PM
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dscow1980 wrote: So for my stats class I taking a survey to determine the percentage of climbers readers of RC.com, who have been climbing for more than 2 years, that have lead (trad or sport) a 5.12 (indoors or outdoors). If you dont mind answering these 4 questions I would greatly appricate it. It should only take a minute. I need 100 replies to do my project. Thanks. Question One. Do you lead climb? (trad or sport) Question Two. Have you been lead climbing for more than two years? Question Three. Have you ever lead a 5.12? (indoor or gym) Question Four. What is the hardest route you have ever lead? Thanks again for your help, I think it will be interesting to see how many people have been lead climbing for more than two years that have ever lead a 5.12. You do realize that there is an inverse proportionality between how good a climber someone is and the likely hood they would read rc.com? But since I am more of a poser these days I'll play. Yes Yes Yes 12c - assuming you mean cleanly (just listing a grade that yo have dogged to the anchors on is totally bogus).
(This post was edited by olderic on Mar 15, 2011, 7:26 PM)
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edge
Mar 15, 2011, 5:53 PM
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Yes. Yes. Yes. 5.12 trad. It was probably a 12b if I had to split hairs.
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shoo
Mar 15, 2011, 5:53 PM
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By my count, according to this survey, 61% of climbers have climbed 5.12 or above. . . . . . . . . . BAAAAAAAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!!
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gblauer
Moderator
Mar 15, 2011, 6:12 PM
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Question One. Do you lead climb? (trad or sport) Yes Question Two. Have you been lead climbing for more than two years? Yes Question Three. Have you ever lead a 5.12? (indoor or gym) Yes Question Four. What is the hardest route you have ever lead? 5.12
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sp115
Mar 15, 2011, 6:21 PM
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shoo wrote: By my count, according to this survey, 61% of climbers have climbed 5.12 or above. . . . . . . . . . BAAAAAAAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!! I'm sure your numbers are correct, which makes me wonder why the lines are always long on the 5.6's at the Gunks but never on the 5.11's.* * just sayin'
(This post was edited by sp115 on Mar 15, 2011, 6:22 PM)
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ianmeister89
Mar 15, 2011, 6:30 PM
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In reply to: Question One. Do you lead climb? (trad or sport) Yes, Sport.
In reply to: Question Two. Have you been lead climbing for more than two years? Not quite.
In reply to: Question Three. Have you ever lead a 5.12? (indoor or gym) Yes, in both places.
In reply to: Question Four. What is the hardest route you have ever lead? I've redpointed 12c. Hardest Onsight is 11b, however. -Ian
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swoopee
Mar 15, 2011, 6:45 PM
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sungam wrote: swoopee wrote: yes yes yes 5.8 Wat? What I meant was. I lead trad, outdoors, and .14d
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potreroed
Mar 15, 2011, 6:46 PM
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yes yes yes 12a trad onsight
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csproul
Mar 15, 2011, 7:34 PM
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shoo wrote: By my count, according to this survey, 61% of climbers have climbed 5.12 or above. . . . . . . . . . BAAAAAAAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!! Kind of funny how many internet hardmen/women there are, huh? Why is it that every climbing area I go to has to the longest lines on climbs 5.10 and below?
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Arrogant_Bastard
Mar 15, 2011, 7:52 PM
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csproul wrote: shoo wrote: By my count, according to this survey, 61% of climbers have climbed 5.12 or above. . . . . . . . . . BAAAAAAAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!! Kind of funny how many internet hardmen/women there are, huh? Why is it that every climbing area I go to has to the longest lines on climbs 5.10 and below? Because 5.12 climbers don't drag 3 of their friends that have never climbed before up a route and clog up the route for an hour and a half? Or perhaps because the areas that you're going to are predominately underhung and therefore centered around 5.10 climbing? This of course doesn't address your implication that someone who has climbed a 5.12 is a "hardman".
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csproul
Mar 15, 2011, 8:43 PM
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Arrogant_Bastard wrote: csproul wrote: shoo wrote: By my count, according to this survey, 61% of climbers have climbed 5.12 or above. . . . . . . . . . BAAAAAAAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!! Kind of funny how many internet hardmen/women there are, huh? Why is it that every climbing area I go to has to the longest lines on climbs 5.10 and below? Because 5.12 climbers don't drag 3 of their friends that have never climbed before up a route and clog up the route for an hour and a half? Or perhaps because the areas that you're going to are predominately underhung and therefore centered around 5.10 climbing? This of course doesn't address your implication that someone who has climbed a 5.12 is a "hardman". I'll go beyond implying and state with almost certainty that there are far more climbers that cannot climb 5.12 than those who can, and yet once again on this website, the opposite appears to be true. You may be right about the ganging of easier routes, but that would contribute to the whole numbers thing, huh? I've climbed at many of the US destination crags and at most all of them, the majority of climbers are climbing below 5.12, including some with extensive sport climbing; Rumney, RRG, NRG, Red Rocks, Obed, ORG, Boulder Canyon etc...It is certainly true for the destinations I have been to with more trad climbing; Yosemite, JT, Gunks, IC. The only places I have seen with more 5.12+ climbers than below are places like Rifle, that are steep sport-centric places with very few easier climbs, and these in the minority.
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chriisu
Mar 15, 2011, 8:45 PM
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yes no yes (indoor) .12a (7a+)
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kaizen
Mar 15, 2011, 9:05 PM
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csproul wrote: Arrogant_Bastard wrote: csproul wrote: shoo wrote: By my count, according to this survey, 61% of climbers have climbed 5.12 or above. . . . . . . . . . BAAAAAAAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!! Kind of funny how many internet hardmen/women there are, huh? Why is it that every climbing area I go to has to the longest lines on climbs 5.10 and below? Because 5.12 climbers don't drag 3 of their friends that have never climbed before up a route and clog up the route for an hour and a half? Or perhaps because the areas that you're going to are predominately underhung and therefore centered around 5.10 climbing? This of course doesn't address your implication that someone who has climbed a 5.12 is a "hardman". I'll go beyond implying and state with almost certainty that there are far more climbers that cannot climb 5.12 than those who can, and yet once again on this website, the opposite appears to be true. You may be right about the ganging of easier routes, but that would contribute to the whole numbers thing, huh? I've climbed at many of the US destination crags and at most all of them, the majority of climbers are climbing below 5.12, including some with extensive sport climbing; Rumney, RRG, NRG, Red Rocks, Obed, ORG, Boulder Canyon etc...It is certainly true for the destinations I have been to with more trad climbing; Yosemite, JT, Gunks, IC. The only places I have seen with more 5.12+ climbers than below are places like Rifle, that are steep sport-centric places with very few easier climbs, and these in the minority. While I agree, I think there are a few things. First, people who spend the day reading through forums on rock climbing are probably more likely to dedicate extra time to climbing harder than the person who gets out a few times per year. It's obsession, perhaps. Second, I think that there are very few people who would post a reply if they have not climbed 5.12, relative to those who have. With that said, I think the old "divide by three" rule can apply here
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Arrogant_Bastard
Mar 15, 2011, 9:30 PM
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csproul wrote: Arrogant_Bastard wrote: csproul wrote: shoo wrote: By my count, according to this survey, 61% of climbers have climbed 5.12 or above. . . . . . . . . . BAAAAAAAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!! Kind of funny how many internet hardmen/women there are, huh? Why is it that every climbing area I go to has to the longest lines on climbs 5.10 and below? Because 5.12 climbers don't drag 3 of their friends that have never climbed before up a route and clog up the route for an hour and a half? Or perhaps because the areas that you're going to are predominately underhung and therefore centered around 5.10 climbing? This of course doesn't address your implication that someone who has climbed a 5.12 is a "hardman". I'll go beyond implying and state with almost certainty that there are far more climbers that cannot climb 5.12 than those who can, and yet once again on this website, the opposite appears to be true. You may be right about the ganging of easier routes, but that would contribute to the whole numbers thing, huh? I've climbed at many of the US destination crags and at most all of them, the majority of climbers are climbing below 5.12, including some with extensive sport climbing; Rumney, RRG, NRG, Red Rocks, Obed, ORG, Boulder Canyon etc...It is certainly true for the destinations I have been to with more trad climbing; Yosemite, JT, Gunks, IC. The only places I have seen with more 5.12+ climbers than below are places like Rifle, that are steep sport-centric places with very few easier climbs, and these in the minority. Well no, I agree that the results of this "survey" mean nothing, but I figured that pretty much everyone was on agreement on that. I was more focused on your implication that there aren't lines on .12s or that there aren't (sport) crags out there with crowds of people who climb .12s. There are plenty of 12 years olds and 1-year gym n00bs climbing .12 sport these days. In fact I think on average you'll find more crowds at a 5.12 sport crag than a solid 5.10 traditional crag.
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rangerrob
Mar 15, 2011, 9:50 PM
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Might I make a suggestion here and say that the ability to lead a "5.12" in a gym has little to nothing to do with being able to lead one outside, either on bolts or on gear. Take the indoors portion of this poll away, it means nothing.
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Arrogant_Bastard
Mar 15, 2011, 10:09 PM
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rangerrob wrote: Might I make a suggestion here and say that the ability to lead a "5.12" in a gym has little to nothing to do with being able to lead one outside, either on bolts or on gear. Take the indoors portion of this poll away, it means nothing. I believe that was a requirement to allow the OP to play along in the survey. http://www.mountainproject.com/..._quesitons/107067075
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dan2see
Mar 15, 2011, 10:18 PM
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No.
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jbro_135
Mar 15, 2011, 10:19 PM
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rangerrob wrote: Might I make a suggestion here and say that the ability to lead a "5.12" in a gym has little to nothing to do with being able to lead one outside, either on bolts or on gear. Take the indoors portion of this poll away, it means nothing. you can't lead 5.12 on bolts or gear, so how would you know?
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guangzhou
Mar 16, 2011, 12:28 AM
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Arrogant_Bastard wrote: Well no, I agree that the results of this "survey" mean nothing, but I figured that pretty much everyone was on agreement on that. I was more focused on your implication that there aren't lines on .12s or that there aren't (sport) crags out there with crowds of people who climb .12s. There are plenty of 12 years olds and 1-year gym n00bs climbing .12 sport these days. In fact I think on average you'll find more crowds at a 5.12 sport crag than a solid 5.10 traditional crag. Very true, your comparison of trad versus sport that is.
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boadman
Mar 16, 2011, 12:29 AM
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dscow1980 wrote: So for my stats class I taking a survey to determine the percentage of climbers, who have been climbing for more than 2 years, that have lead (trad or sport) a 5.12 (indoors or outdoors). If you dont mind answering these 4 questions I would greatly appricate it. It should only take a minute. I need 100 replies to do my project. Thanks. Question One. Do you lead climb? (trad or sport) Question Two. Have you been lead climbing for more than two years? Question Three. Have you ever lead a 5.12? (indoor or gym) Question Four. What is the hardest route you have ever lead? Thanks again for your help, I think it will be interesting to see how many people have been lead climbing for more than two years that have ever lead a 5.12. Yes: Trad & Sport Yes: Yes: indoor & outside, trad and sport The hardest route I've ever sent was probably Propaganda at Little Si, which is only 12c but took me forever. But then, there was this off-width I did in the creek with a friend called Big Boy or something that was only 5.11 that totally destroyed me. Oh yeah, TMPV at Index felt really hard for me, both mentally and physically. I've onsighted 12+ in Colonotsorado though.
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dscow1980
Mar 16, 2011, 12:48 AM
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Agreed...... I may have to come up with a better survey... This survey is was simply serving the purpose of establishing a null hypothesis. For the real survey I will have to obviously figure out a different technique as I totally agree, most people who have not climbed a 5.12 would be hesitant to say so for reasons of pride. Anyways, thanks for the interesting conversations and particapting in this survey.
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jt512
Mar 16, 2011, 1:53 AM
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dscow1980 wrote: Agreed...... I may have to come up with a better survey... This survey is was simply serving the purpose of establishing a null hypothesis. Establishing a null hypothesis? Huh? Jay
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cracklover
Mar 16, 2011, 2:50 PM
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Arrogant_Bastard wrote: csproul wrote: shoo wrote: By my count, according to this survey, 61% of climbers have climbed 5.12 or above. . . . . . . . . . BAAAAAAAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!! Kind of funny how many internet hardmen/women there are, huh? Why is it that every climbing area I go to has to the longest lines on climbs 5.10 and below? Because 5.12 climbers don't drag 3 of their friends that have never climbed before up a route and clog up the route for an hour and a half? Or perhaps because the areas that you're going to are predominately underhung and therefore centered around 5.10 climbing? This of course doesn't address your implication that someone who has climbed a 5.12 is a "hardman". Yesterday I'm pretty sure I saw Alex Honnold taking some n00bs on a popular 5.6 in Eldo. I had a new leader I was going to put on it, so I moved on to another one. Even if it wasn't Alex H (though he looked and sounded like him) - I climb 5.12, and I was doing exactly what you say 5.12 climbers don't. Well, okay, I only had one n00b in tow, not 3, but yor still rong. On both counts. Based on 2 people in 1 day. G
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csproul
Mar 16, 2011, 2:55 PM
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cracklover wrote: dscow1980 wrote: Agreed...... I may have to come up with a better survey... This survey is was simply serving the purpose of establishing a null hypothesis. For the real survey I will have to obviously figure out a different technique as I totally agree, most people who have not climbed a 5.12 would be hesitant to say so for reasons of pride. Anyways, thanks for the interesting conversations and particapting in this survey. Jesus, it's not rocket science. An unbiased survey looks like this: 1 - For how many years have you been climbing? 2 - Do you lead climb? 3 - What is your hardest send? Then add some language about the constraints of the survey (inside and/or outside, trad and/or sport). Only this time take the 30 seconds to proof-read your post so it doesn't say indoor or gym. GO Still not unbiased on a public forum. I'd bet that you'd still have people more likely to post if they climb a higher grade. People who climb a lower grade would be less likely to publicly announce it.
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dscow1980
Mar 16, 2011, 2:55 PM
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Arrogant_Bastard
Mar 16, 2011, 3:08 PM
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dscow1980 wrote: Seriously, who are you people who feel like you are in a position to judge weather or not this is a good survey? Are you my instructor? Or perhaps you are in a position to give me UNWANTED advise? The fact is neither is true. PLEASE keep your opinions to yourself. I DONT CARE IF YOU LIKE THE SURVEY OR IF IT COULD HAVE BEEN DONE BETTER. If you would like to answer the survey then I appricate it but if you only came on here to critisize my survey to make yourself feel important then move on. I am a student, a veteran, and a fellow climber and certainly deserve more respect than I have been shown on here. Awesome. Right down to the spelling, the all caps sections, and pointing out that you're a veteran. Thank you, that made my morning.
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yodadave
Mar 16, 2011, 3:23 PM
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yes yes yes 12a (13 indoors but noone actually counts that) also please don't equate your deserving respect with what jobs you have had. Try equating respect with being a human being. We all deserve respect.
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ClimbSoHigh
Mar 16, 2011, 3:54 PM
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1. yup 2. uh huh 3. barely 4. 5.12a (boltering climbs and soft 12's like Ro Sham Po) Trad... 1 short 5.8 and a 5.6, all others 5.4 and under.
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camhead
Mar 16, 2011, 3:58 PM
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yodadave wrote: yes yes yes 12a (13 indoors but noone actually counts that) also please don't equate your deserving respect with what jobs you have had. Try equating respect with being a human being. We all deserve respect. Seriously, I know that other people have kind of dismissed gym climbing in here, but in my own experience, gym climbing is HARD. A 13 in a gym is proud, and I would even say that it would be easier for a 13 gym climber to move into the same grade sport outside, than the other way around.
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yodadave
Mar 16, 2011, 4:01 PM
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the beautiful art of sarcasm. camhead that is hilarious, thanks for brightening my day
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camhead
Mar 16, 2011, 4:05 PM
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yodadave wrote: the beautiful art of sarcasm. camhead that is hilarious, thanks for brightening my day I'm actually serious here. 13s, hell, 12s in any gym that I've been to , are hard.
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cracklover
Mar 16, 2011, 4:13 PM
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camhead wrote: yodadave wrote: the beautiful art of sarcasm. camhead that is hilarious, thanks for brightening my day I'm actually serious here. 13s, hell, 12s in any gym that I've been to , are hard. Channeling Angry now, are we? Hahahaha! This should be fun... GO
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dscow1980
Mar 16, 2011, 4:31 PM
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I agree actually. I think that a 12 in a gym is really hard. I don't want you all to get the wrong idea here, I prefer to climb outdoors. I climbed outdoors for 3 years before I ever tried the gym. In my limited experience the time I spent in the gym in the off season has made me a much stronger climber outdoors. It also provided a platform for me to practice sport lead climbing to where I could get comfortable enough with it to try it outdoors. That has been my experience anyways. The purpose of this survey as I have mentioned is for a stats class but the reason I choose this topic is because I wanted to see where my progress was comparatively with other climbers who have been climbing about as long as I have. Last summer I lead a 5.11 sport outdoors and have lead one 5.12 in the gym. According to this survey most people are climbing 5.12's. That is surprising to me.
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gmggg
Mar 16, 2011, 4:37 PM
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dscow1980 wrote: I agree actually. I think that a 12 in a gym is really hard. I don't want you all to get the wrong idea here, I prefer to climb outdoors. I climbed outdoors for 3 years before I ever tried the gym. In my limited experience the time I spent in the gym in the off season has made me a much stronger climber outdoors. It also provided a platform for me to practice sport lead climbing to where I could get comfortable enough with it to try it outdoors. That has been my experience anyways. The purpose of this survey as I have mentioned is for a stats class but the reason I choose this topic is because I wanted to see where my progress was comparatively with other climbers who have been climbing about as long as I have. Last summer I lead a 5.11 sport outdoors and have lead one 5.12 in the gym. According to this survey most people are climbing 5.12's. That is surprising to me. Man, pride is a funny thing. Do you realize the contradictions in your first paragraph? And for your survey... yes yes yes 12a Also the bolded sentence above is surprising to me. You need to get a private tutor, maybe someone from this thread would have volunteered before you started acting like a jackass.
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dscow1980
Mar 16, 2011, 4:43 PM
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Actually I don't realize the contradictions in my first paragraph but I am sure you would love to point them out to me.....
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dscow1980
Mar 16, 2011, 4:52 PM
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Additionally I am not sure why everyone on here has to be a jerk..... Honestly, what is your problem.... I have not had one negative comment with the same survey on other climbing websites but everyone on here has been just straight up mean.
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Arrogant_Bastard
Mar 16, 2011, 4:56 PM
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dscow1980 wrote: I agree actually. I think that a 12 in a gym is really hard. I don't want you all to get the wrong idea here, I prefer to climb outdoors. I climbed outdoors for 3 years before I ever tried the gym. In my limited experience the time I spent in the gym in the off season has made me a much stronger climber outdoors. It also provided a platform for me to practice sport lead climbing to where I could get comfortable enough with it to try it outdoors. That has been my experience anyways. The purpose of this survey as I have mentioned is for a stats class but the reason I choose this topic is because I wanted to see where my progress was comparatively with other climbers who have been climbing about as long as I have. Last summer I lead a 5.11 sport outdoors and have lead one 5.12 in the gym. According to this survey most people are climbing 5.12's. That is surprising to me. In your thread on MP you said you've been climbing "about 3 years".
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Arrogant_Bastard
Mar 16, 2011, 4:58 PM
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dscow1980 wrote: Additionally I am not sure why everyone on here has to be a jerk..... Honestly, what is your problem.... I have not had one negative comment with the same survey on other climbing websites but everyone on here has been just straight up mean. Some of us have small penishes, others were beaten by their fathers. Mostly though, making fun of others makes us feel better about ourselves.
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dscow1980
Mar 16, 2011, 5:02 PM
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Yea well sorry I didn't get it down to the exact month I started climbing... I didn't realize everyone was going to be sooooooo freakin anal about everything. My point was that I started climbing outdoors before I started climbing indoors and the time spent indoors was valuable in making me a stronger climber. THAT WASN'T OBVIOUS.... I can not believe that you are so anal about this that you actually tracked what I said here with what I said on MP....... I mean don't you have anything else to do besides give me shit.
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Arrogant_Bastard
Mar 16, 2011, 5:06 PM
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dscow1980 wrote: Yea well sorry I didn't get it down to the exact month I started climbing... I didn't realize everyone was going to be sooooooo freakin anal about everything. My point was that I started climbing outdoors before I started climbing indoors and the time spent indoors was valuable in making me a stronger climber. THAT WASN'T OBVIOUS.... I can not believe that you are so anal about this that you actually tracked what I said here with what I said on MP....... You said that climbing indoors allowed you to practice it and get comfortable with it enough to try it outdoors. You also said that last summer you lead a5.11. And finally, that you climbed for 3 years before climbing indoors. So it seems like it's off by more than a couple months.
dscowl1980 wrote: I mean don't you have anything else to do besides give me shit. Not really, no.
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sungam
Mar 16, 2011, 5:17 PM
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swoopee wrote: dscow1980 wrote: Additionally I am not sure why everyone on here has to be a jerk..... Honestly, what is your problem.... I have not had one negative comment with the same survey on other climbing websites but everyone on here has been just straight up mean. It's what we do baby, it's what we do. Also, I don't think that everyone on here is a jerk. It just seems like it sometimes. No, just AB.
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suprasoup
Mar 16, 2011, 5:43 PM
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1. Yes 2. Yes 3. Yes 4. .14d Supra
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spikeddem
Mar 16, 2011, 5:43 PM
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Arrogant_Bastard wrote: dscow1980 wrote: Yea well sorry I didn't get it down to the exact month I started climbing... I didn't realize everyone was going to be sooooooo freakin anal about everything. My point was that I started climbing outdoors before I started climbing indoors and the time spent indoors was valuable in making me a stronger climber. THAT WASN'T OBVIOUS.... I can not believe that you are so anal about this that you actually tracked what I said here with what I said on MP....... You said that climbing indoors allowed you to practice it and get comfortable with it enough to try it outdoors. You also said that last summer you lead a5.11. And finally, that you climbed for 3 years before climbing indoors. So it seems like it's off by more than a couple months. dscowl1980 wrote: I mean don't you have anything else to do besides give me shit. Not really, no. Seriously, dscow. Just look at this fucker's name. Can't you tell that he's a mean gay?
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olderic
Mar 16, 2011, 5:49 PM
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dscow1980 wrote: According to this survey most people are climbing 5.12's. That is surprising to me. I think why most people are ragging on you (besides the fact that you seem to have such a thin skin and its fun to get a dramatic response) is that you continue to attempt to draw conclusions from the responses here. It has been pointed out multiple times by multiple people that there are numerous reasons why any statistics collected from these responses would have little value (but criticism hurt your feelings). And yet you write the above....
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gmggg
Mar 16, 2011, 5:51 PM
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dscow1980 wrote: Yea well sorry I didn't get it down to the exact month I started climbing... I didn't realize everyone was going to be sooooooo freakin anal about everything. My point was that I started climbing outdoors before I started climbing indoors and the time spent indoors was valuable in making me a stronger climber. THAT WASN'T OBVIOUS.... I can not believe that you are so anal about this that you actually tracked what I said here with what I said on MP....... I mean don't you have anything else to do besides give me shit. How is it possible that you are both a veteran and only 14 years old?
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shoo
Mar 16, 2011, 5:56 PM
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Well, just for the fun of it, I am curious. What does everyone think the actual number should be, as define below? What proportion of self-defined rock climbers have successfully sent at least one route consensus-rated 5.12a or above (or equivalent in other grading scales)? I'm going to go with roughly 15%.
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gmggg
Mar 16, 2011, 6:01 PM
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shoo wrote: Well, just for the fun of it, I am curious. What does everyone think the actual number should be, as define below? What proportion of self-defined rock climbers have successfully sent at least one route consensus-rated 5.12a or above (or equivalent in other grading scales)? I'm going to go with roughly 15%. Self-defined? I'd guess lower than that by a few points.
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jt512
Mar 16, 2011, 6:04 PM
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I still want to know what you what you think you mean by this:
dscow1980 wrote: This survey is was simply serving the purpose of establishing a null hypothesis. Jay
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sp115
Mar 16, 2011, 6:22 PM
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shoo wrote: Well, just for the fun of it, I am curious. What does everyone think the actual number should be, as define below? What proportion of self-defined rock climbers have successfully sent at least one route consensus-rated 5.12a or above (or equivalent in other grading scales)? I'm going to go with roughly 15%. Taking your term "self-defined rock climber” to mean most anyone who owns gear and leads AND based on how many of those same climbers I see lining up on 12a routes at the Gunks, Daks, Cathedral, etc., I’m going to say you’re being generous. My hat is off to any of you that regularly lead at that level or higher. The only chance I would have on a 12-whatever route, would be if the first fifty feet was 5.6.
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shoo
Mar 16, 2011, 6:26 PM
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sp115 wrote: shoo wrote: Well, just for the fun of it, I am curious. What does everyone think the actual number should be, as define below? What proportion of self-defined rock climbers have successfully sent at least one route consensus-rated 5.12a or above (or equivalent in other grading scales)? I'm going to go with roughly 15%. Taking your term "self-defined rock climber” to mean most anyone who owns gear and leads AND based on how many of those same climbers I see lining up on 12a routes at the Gunks, Daks, Cathedral, etc., I’m going to say you’re being generous. My hat is off to any of you that regularly lead at that level or higher. The only chance I would have on a 12-whatever route, would be if the first fifty feet was 5.6. I am taking "self defined" to be when asked whether or not they would consider themselves a rock climber, they would say yes. Simple as that.
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olderic
Mar 16, 2011, 6:46 PM
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shoo wrote: I am taking "self defined" to be when asked whether or not they would consider themselves a rock climber, they would say yes. Simple as that. I think that's too liberal - you'd get 1/2 the b-day party kids responding with a "yes". How about - "own a climbing rope and used it > x number of times in the past year". I'd posit that x should be at least 10. Even with this presumably smaller set of climbers (but what do I know - maybe there exists a vast S&M underground that uses their climbing ropes daily) I still think that claiming that ~15% have successfully sent >= 5.12 is optimistic. I'd say more like 5%.
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byran
Mar 16, 2011, 7:19 PM
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I think you guys are seriously underestimating how easy it is for someone who is young and motivated to redpoint just one 5.12 at their local sport crag.
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spikeddem
Mar 16, 2011, 7:32 PM
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byran wrote: I think you guys are seriously underestimating how easy it is for someone who is young and motivated to redpoint just one 5.12 at their local sport crag. I think you're seriously underestimating the sheer numbers of people that don't do that.
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Toast_in_the_Machine
Mar 16, 2011, 7:50 PM
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byran wrote: I think you guys are seriously underestimating how easy it is for someone who is young and motivated to redpoint just one 5.12 at their local sport crag. I'm reminded of a willie nelson quote on golf
In reply to: One of the great things about having your own golf course is that you get to set the difficulty, take that hole, it is a par 47. Yesterday I birdied the sucker And for the record, I don't lead 12, but I didn't list it because I liked the bias in the thread.
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dscow1980
Mar 16, 2011, 8:16 PM
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Climbing indoors allowed me to get comfortable enough with lead climbing to try it outdoors. I did a ton of top roping outdoors before I ever lead or even attempted to lead anything. And last summer I did lead a 5.11 outdoors, not sure what your point was there. And finally I climbed approximately 3 years outdoors (topropping) before climbing indoors. By 3 years, maybe that means 2 maybe it means 4 BUT it still is NOT the point. The point was that climbing indoors made me a stronger, more confident climber outdoors, in the realm of lead climbing..... So now that you know my life story, maybe you could help me write my book........ Its called "Get a Life".....
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dscow1980
Mar 16, 2011, 8:18 PM
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Impressive... You are the first response of someone who has lead a .14.....
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jt512
Mar 16, 2011, 8:20 PM
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dscow1980 wrote: Impressive... You are the first response of someone who has lead a .14..... Not just a 14, etiher. A 14d. Jay
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gmggg
Mar 16, 2011, 8:24 PM
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jt512 wrote: dscow1980 wrote: Impressive... You are the first response of someone who has lead a .14..... Not just a 14, etiher. A 14d. Jay Jay's so impressed that his anal retentiveness bit the bullet. That's got to be a rare occasion.
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dscow1980
Mar 16, 2011, 8:29 PM
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This is what I have been trying to figure out all along..... Obviously posting a forum about it on rockclimbing.com is not the best way to do that but I am curious how would one go about finding that out with some degree of accuracy?
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dscow1980
Mar 16, 2011, 8:38 PM
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A null hypothesis, as in null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis. The null hypothesis is a statement to be tested, which has no change, no effect, or no difference. The null hypothesis is assumed true until evidence indicates otherwise. The alternative hypothesis is a statement that I can find evidence to support. The idea is I will compare one to the other. This survey has been an experiement in configuring a null hypothesis. The alternative hypothesis will be determined after collecting sufficent evidence to support it. So go ahead, pick it apart..... I know that is what you will do but I took that right out of my textbook so that you cannot critisize me, it is from the text.
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spikeddem
Mar 16, 2011, 8:46 PM
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dscow1980 wrote: A null hypothesis, as in null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis. The null hypothesis is a statement to be tested, which has no change, no effect, or no difference. The null hypothesis is assumed true until evidence indicates otherwise. The alternative hypothesis is a statement that I can find evidence to support. The idea is I will compare one to the other. This survey has been an experiement in configuring a null hypothesis. The alternative hypothesis will be determined after collecting sufficent evidence to support it. So go ahead, pick it apart..... I know that is what you will do but I took that right out of my textbook so that you cannot critisize me, it is from the text. That's great and all, but you weren't asked to explain what a null hypothesis is.
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Arrogant_Bastard
Mar 16, 2011, 8:49 PM
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dscow1980 wrote: So now that you know my life story, maybe you could help me write my book........ Its called "Get a Life"..... Well, the typical formula for an autobiography would be to give some background information on your youth; perhaps with some entertaining anecdote about how your dad signed you up for Girlscouts because you couldn't cut it in T-ball, or something like that. Lay a foundation for your inevitable demise. Then comes the meat of your book, where you build the story. Discuss in-depth whatever path it was that lead you to failure. A figure of speech, lead you to failure, for in this case it was topropping, or a lack of leading, that lead you to ruin. Then you hit the climax - again a figure of speech, for this is actually the low-point in your life. You gotta really lay this on thick and allow the audience to feel the pain. Get into the details, more than just what happened. Explain what was going through your head. Discuss the insecurities that drove you to posting surveys on the internet so you could measure up your climbing schlong with that of complete strangers through a digital medium. And finally, resolution - I would keep it short and sweet, maybe even a one liner: And I never posted to RC.com again.
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dscow1980
Mar 16, 2011, 8:54 PM
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That is by far the most creative and well thought out come back I have ever heard.... I give you some major credit for putting the effort and time into that. I did explain what a null hyphotesis is though, since you were dying to know.
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dscow1980
Mar 16, 2011, 8:55 PM
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And I was actually asked by AB, of course......
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dscow1980
Mar 16, 2011, 8:59 PM
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And since you have sooooo much time on your hands and since you are a self proclaimed geniuous why don't we switch from being enemies to partners. Maybe you can offer some sort of suggestion as to how I could come up with an alternative hypothesis that woudl give me an accurate number of the percentage of climbers who have been climbing more than two years that have successfully lead a 5.12.
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iknowfear
Mar 16, 2011, 9:01 PM
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dscow1980 wrote: That is by far the most creative and well thought out come back I have ever heard.... I give you some major credit for putting the effort and time into that. I did explain what a null hyphotesis is though, since you were dying to know. we bloody know what a null hypothesis is. But how does this thread help you to form one? Maybe you are a phd student reseaching intercactions and social norms in special interest websites? Then this thread would be prime research material, although you would need to include a lenghty and boring part on how to your posts influenced the reponses...
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jt512
Mar 16, 2011, 9:01 PM
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dscow1980 wrote: This survey has been an experiement in configuring a null hypothesis. That's essentially what you said the first time. I still don't understand what it means to configure a null hypothesis, and how this survey helps you "configure" one.
In reply to: The alternative hypothesis will be determined after collecting sufficent evidence to support it. That statement makes no sense at all, but I actually think I've guessed what you're trying to say. You're thinking about using this survey to develop a hypothesis about the percentage of climbers that have led a 5.12, which you can test in a more rigorous study. Is that about right? Jay
(This post was edited by jt512 on Mar 16, 2011, 9:07 PM)
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dan2see
Mar 16, 2011, 9:03 PM
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Arrogant_Bastard wrote: dscow1980 wrote: So now that you know my life story, maybe you could help me write my book........ Its called "Get a Life"..... Well, the typical formula for an autobiography would be to give some background information on your youth; perhaps with some entertaining anecdote about how your dad signed you up for Girlscouts because you couldn't cut it in T-ball, or something like that. Lay a foundation for your inevitable demise. Then comes the meat of your book, where you build the story. Discuss in-depth whatever path it was that lead you to failure. A figure of speech, lead you to failure, for in this case it was topropping, or a lack of leading, that lead you to ruin. Then you hit the climax - again a figure of speech, for this is actually the low-point in your life. You gotta really lay this on thick and allow the audience to feel the pain. Get into the details, more than just what happened. Explain what was going through your head. Discuss the insecurities that drove you to posting surveys on the internet so you could measure up your climbing schlong with that of complete strangers through a digital medium. And finally, resolution - I would keep it short and sweet, maybe even a one liner: And I never posted to RC.com again. Jeez, for an arrogant bastard, you're smart! And cool, too! I think it's good to tell stories about failure, but I don't like it when folks predict failure. I always hope these new writers learn, and move on. But then, I'm an idealist.
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dscow1980
Mar 16, 2011, 9:06 PM
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Well you may know what a null hypothesis is but the person that asked me what I meant by that obviously didn't. I have taken a sample now from my population to get an idea about the population and make a general statement. This is the null hypothesis... I am seriously done explaining this to everyone..... How do you delete a forum on RC.com, this is a waste of my time. To those that were helpful and just answered the questions, thank you. To everyone else who felt like they needed to give their unwanted opinions and advise, you were not helpful at all and I wish you would just find something better to do with your time.
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Toast_in_the_Machine
Mar 16, 2011, 9:10 PM
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dscow1980 wrote: Well you may know what a null hypothesis is but the person that asked me what I meant by that obviously didn't. I have taken a sample now from my population to get an idea about the population and make a general statement. This is the null hypothesis... I am seriously done explaining this to everyone..... How do you delete a forum on RC.com, this is a waste of my time. To those that were helpful and just answered the questions, thank you. To everyone else who felt like they needed to give their unwanted opinions and advise, you were not helpful at all and I wish you would just find something better to do with your time. Go and climb something, when your spirit is more centered please come back. You will see the results you desire, if not in the format you expect.
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camhead
Mar 16, 2011, 9:10 PM
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dscow1980 wrote: That is by far the most creative and well thought out come back I have ever heard.... I give you some major credit for putting the effort and time into that. I did explain what a null hyphotesis is though, since you were dying to know.
dan2see wrote: Jeez, for an arrogant bastard, you're smart! And cool, too! Hey, why don't you guys just start swapping spit with AB, if you like him so much? I can tell you, I have it on good authority that he likes a reacharound while you call him "Susan."
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dscow1980
Mar 16, 2011, 9:10 PM
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Just as I thought, you would pick apart word for word what I said and destroy it somehow. All I know is in this class I have an A, and for that matter I have got an A in every class I have ever taken so I must understand something. And BTW, this was straight out of my textbook so if you have a problem then take it up with the textbook, not me.
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Arrogant_Bastard
Mar 16, 2011, 9:10 PM
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dscow1980 wrote: That is by far the most creative and well thought out come back I have ever heard.... I give you some major credit for putting the effort and time into that. I did explain what a null hyphotesis is though, since you were dying to know. No, that was JT that was asking. But he's kind of a jerk too, so I'll overlook the mixup.
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lena_chita
Moderator
Mar 16, 2011, 9:11 PM
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dscow1980 wrote: Well you may know what a null hypothesis is but the person that asked me what I meant by that obviously didn't. I have taken a sample now from my population to get an idea about the population and make a general statement. This is the null hypothesis... I am seriously done explaining this to everyone..... No, the person who asked you, DOES know what a null hypothesis is better than you do. And that's exactly WHY he asked.
dscow1980 wrote: How do you delete a forum on RC.com, this is a waste of my time. You can't delete a forum. Luckily...
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camhead
Mar 16, 2011, 9:14 PM
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lena_chita wrote: dscow1980 wrote: How do you delete a forum on RC.com, this is a waste of my time. You can't delete a forum. Luckily... Stealing his intellectual property? Not two weeks on the job and you're already wearing the jackboots nicely, FACIST!
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dscow1980
Mar 16, 2011, 9:18 PM
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Oh I see so he only asked me so that he could be an asshole and correct me. Sounds like a great guy, or possibly a guy who has some insecurities and feels it is neccassary to come online and give people shit. My guess is none of you would have the balls to say any of this to my face, but then again isn't that why people like you hang out in places like this. This is the last post you will see from me, I'm getting back to living my life to fullest.
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dynosore
Mar 16, 2011, 9:20 PM
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dscow1980 wrote: Just as I thought, you would pick apart word for word what I said and destroy it somehow. All I know is in this class I have an A, and for that matter I have got an A in every class I have ever taken so I must understand something. And BTW, this was straight out of my textbook so if you have a problem then take it up with the textbook, not me. all this proves is that our educational system is a joke. I've been in polymer research for over 15 years and have forgotten more than you'll ever know about statistical analysis. It's obvious that you don't have an even rudimentary grasp of what you're doing. Tell me why you picked n=100, Mr. All A's?
(This post was edited by dynosore on Mar 16, 2011, 9:21 PM)
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jt512
Mar 16, 2011, 9:21 PM
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dscow1980 wrote: Just as I thought, you would pick apart word for word what I said and destroy it somehow. All I know is in this class I have an A, and for that matter I have got an A in every class I have ever taken so I must understand something. And BTW, this was straight out of my textbook so if you have a problem then take it up with the textbook, not me. Yeah, unfortunately these days they give A's for copying definitions out of books, rather than requiring a deep understanding of the material. Jay
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jt512
Mar 16, 2011, 9:22 PM
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dscow1980 wrote: Oh I see so he only asked me so that he could be an asshole and correct me. Sounds like a great guy, or possibly a guy who has some insecurities and feels it is neccassary to come online and give people shit. My guess is none of you would have the balls to say any of this to my face, but then again isn't that why people like you hang out in places like this. You don't think I could criticize your research methodology to your face? Are you kidding? I do that for a living. Jay
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sp115
Mar 16, 2011, 9:24 PM
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dscow1980 wrote: Oh I see so he only asked me so that he could be an asshole and correct me. Sounds like a great guy, or possibly a guy who has some insecurities and feels it is neccassary to come online and give people shit. My guess is none of you would have the balls to say any of this to my face, but then again isn't that why people like you hang out in places like this. This is the last post you will see from me, I'm getting back to living my life to fullest. I believe it's about time for this: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=unkIVvjZc9Y
(This post was edited by sp115 on Mar 16, 2011, 9:25 PM)
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gmggg
Mar 16, 2011, 9:25 PM
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dscow1980 wrote: Well you may know what a null hypothesis is but the person that asked me what I meant by that obviously didn't. I have taken a sample now from my population to get an idea about the population and make a general statement. This is the null hypothesis... I am seriously done explaining this to everyone..... How do you delete a forum on RC.com, this is a waste of my time. To those that were helpful and just answered the questions, thank you. To everyone else who felt like they needed to give their unwanted opinions and advise, you were not helpful at all and I wish you would just find something better to do with your time. I, and many others, both gave you unwanted advise[sic] and answered the questions. Where does that leave us? And you still haven't answered my question. How is it that you are both a veteran and 14 years old?
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gmggg
Mar 16, 2011, 9:26 PM
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dscow1980 wrote: Oh I see so he only asked me so that he could be an asshole and correct me. Sounds like a great guy, or possibly a guy who has some insecurities and feels it is neccassary to come online and give people shit. My guess is none of you would have the balls to say any of this to my face, but then again isn't that why people like you hang out in places like this. This is the last post you will see from me, I'm getting back to living my life to fullest. Anyone taking bets? I've got $20.
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Arrogant_Bastard
Mar 16, 2011, 9:28 PM
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dscow1980 wrote: And since you have sooooo much time on your hands and since you are a self proclaimed geniuous why don't we switch from being enemies to partners. I just gave you an idea for what is sure to be a best selling autobiography, what more do you want?
dscow1980 wrote: Maybe you can offer some sort of suggestion as to how I could come up with an alternative hypothesis that woudl give me an accurate number of the percentage of climbers who have been climbing more than two years that have successfully lead a 5.12. Ok fine. See that search bar on the upper right with a dropbox next to it? If you select 'users' and then put an asterisk in the search box you'll get every user on this site. Looks like there's over 100,000. Of course, half of those are just Caughtinsides troll accounts. You have to come up with an unbiased, yet reasonable way of finding 100 users that have entered climbs on their database for 2 years. If you could program it'd be easier, but you can sort through by brute force. Keep a tally of who lead a .12a or above in their first two years - which the graph will tell you. Going through the forums would probably get you 100 users that entered climbs on the database faster, but that could be argued to be biased - being the same douchebags that answered your survey to begin with. Alternately, you could go through the routes database to find users, as people marking tics will more likely have 2 years of routes recorded. Of course, you could just use the 100+ results you gained through this site and MP, do your survey, retain your A, get on with your life, and stop taking everything so fucking seriously.
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Toast_in_the_Machine
Mar 16, 2011, 9:29 PM
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gmggg wrote: dscow1980 wrote: Well you may know what a null hypothesis is but the person that asked me what I meant by that obviously didn't. I have taken a sample now from my population to get an idea about the population and make a general statement. This is the null hypothesis... I am seriously done explaining this to everyone..... How do you delete a forum on RC.com, this is a waste of my time. To those that were helpful and just answered the questions, thank you. To everyone else who felt like they needed to give their unwanted opinions and advise, you were not helpful at all and I wish you would just find something better to do with your time. I, and many others, both gave you unwanted advise[sic] and answered the questions. Where does that leave us? And you still haven't answered my question. How is it that you are both a veteran and 14 years old? Probably born in 1980.
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chilli
Mar 16, 2011, 9:31 PM
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shoo wrote: By my count, according to this survey, 61% of climbers have climbed 5.12 or above. . . . . . . . . . BAAAAAAAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!! as i'm sure you know, the simple explanation is that this survey inherently has an obvious response bias. So aside from a few honorable people, those who can't brag didn't post... ...or people are lying. not sure i have enough faith in people to chose one or the other.
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gmggg
Mar 16, 2011, 9:33 PM
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Toast_in_the_Machine wrote: gmggg wrote: dscow1980 wrote: Well you may know what a null hypothesis is but the person that asked me what I meant by that obviously didn't. I have taken a sample now from my population to get an idea about the population and make a general statement. This is the null hypothesis... I am seriously done explaining this to everyone..... How do you delete a forum on RC.com, this is a waste of my time. To those that were helpful and just answered the questions, thank you. To everyone else who felt like they needed to give their unwanted opinions and advise, you were not helpful at all and I wish you would just find something better to do with your time. I, and many others, both gave you unwanted advise[sic] and answered the questions. Where does that leave us? And you still haven't answered my question. How is it that you are both a veteran and 14 years old? Probably born in 1980. I saw that. I was just sure that we were dealing with someone going through the pangs of puberty while in the midst of a high school science class. I mean the grammar, overreactions, and general knowledge of the world all support that theory, right?
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gmggg
Mar 16, 2011, 9:34 PM
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chilli wrote: shoo wrote: By my count, according to this survey, 61% of climbers have climbed 5.12 or above. . . . . . . . . . BAAAAAAAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!! as i'm sure you know, the simple explanation is that this survey inherently has an obvious response bias. So aside from a few honorable people, those who can't brag didn't post... ...or people are lying. not sure i have enough faith in people to chose one or the other. Why can't it be both?
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Toast_in_the_Machine
Mar 16, 2011, 9:37 PM
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gmggg wrote: dscow1980 wrote: Oh I see so he only asked me so that he could be an asshole and correct me. Sounds like a great guy, or possibly a guy who has some insecurities and feels it is neccassary to come online and give people shit. My guess is none of you would have the balls to say any of this to my face, but then again isn't that why people like you hang out in places like this. This is the last post you will see from me, I'm getting back to living my life to fullest. Anyone taking bets? I've got $20. Odds?
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Toast_in_the_Machine
Mar 16, 2011, 9:42 PM
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gmggg wrote: Toast_in_the_Machine wrote: gmggg wrote: dscow1980 wrote: Well you may know what a null hypothesis is but the person that asked me what I meant by that obviously didn't. I have taken a sample now from my population to get an idea about the population and make a general statement. This is the null hypothesis... I am seriously done explaining this to everyone..... How do you delete a forum on RC.com, this is a waste of my time. To those that were helpful and just answered the questions, thank you. To everyone else who felt like they needed to give their unwanted opinions and advise, you were not helpful at all and I wish you would just find something better to do with your time. I, and many others, both gave you unwanted advise[sic] and answered the questions. Where does that leave us? And you still haven't answered my question. How is it that you are both a veteran and 14 years old? Probably born in 1980. I saw that. I was just sure that we were dealing with someone going through the pangs of puberty while in the midst of a high school science class. I mean the grammar, overreactions, and general knowledge of the world all support that theory, right? Well, given the similarities to codefrog, I would guess it is a reflection of time spent recently in the US military.
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sp115
Mar 16, 2011, 9:43 PM
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Toast_in_the_Machine wrote: gmggg wrote: dscow1980 wrote: Oh I see so he only asked me so that he could be an asshole and correct me. Sounds like a great guy, or possibly a guy who has some insecurities and feels it is neccassary to come online and give people shit. My guess is none of you would have the balls to say any of this to my face, but then again isn't that why people like you hang out in places like this. This is the last post you will see from me, I'm getting back to living my life to fullest. Anyone taking bets? I've got $20. Odds? (shhhhh - he's logged on right now, I don't think he's quite done yet...)
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Rora
Mar 16, 2011, 10:44 PM
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ok, no i havent climbed a 12 on lead. yes, i do lead climb. but indoors only, and with a coach. Im technically too young to get my lead card and lead by myself. no, i havent been leading for more than 2 years, i actually started only about a month ago. nope, i havent ever lead a 12. dont climb many 12s in general. :P hardest route i ever lead... 11b. Indoors. yesterday. also... im only 13 years old.
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thomasribiere
Mar 16, 2011, 11:02 PM
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Question One. Do you lead climb? (trad or sport) Y (sport). Question Two. Have you been lead climbing for more than two years? Y Question Three. Have you ever lead a 5.12? (indoor or gym) Y (only a couple of times, outdoor). But couldn't RP them anyway. Question Four. What is the hardest route you have ever lead? Both were 5.12a.
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Arrogant_Bastard
Mar 16, 2011, 11:10 PM
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thomasribiere wrote: Question One. Do you lead climb? (trad or sport) Y (sport). Question Two. Have you been lead climbing for more than two years? Y Question Three. Have you ever lead a 5.12? (indoor or gym) Y (only a couple of times, outdoor). But couldn't RP them anyway. Question Four. What is the hardest route you have ever lead? Both were 5.12a.7a+
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lena_chita
Moderator
Mar 16, 2011, 11:20 PM
Post #137 of 144
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camhead wrote: lena_chita wrote: dscow1980 wrote: How do you delete a forum on RC.com, this is a waste of my time. You can't delete a forum. Luckily... Stealing his intellectual property? Not two weeks on the job and you're already wearing the jackboots nicely, FACIST! What can I say... power corrupts! delete, delete, delete!
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LostinMaine
Mar 17, 2011, 1:51 AM
Post #138 of 144
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dscow1980 wrote: A null hypothesis, as in null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis. The null hypothesis is a statement to be tested, which has no change, no effect, or no difference. The null hypothesis is assumed true until evidence indicates otherwise. The alternative hypothesis is a statement that I can find evidence to support. The idea is I will compare one to the other. This survey has been an experiement in configuring a null hypothesis. The alternative hypothesis will be determined after collecting sufficent evidence to support it. So go ahead, pick it apart..... I know that is what you will do but I took that right out of my textbook so that you cannot critisize me, it is from the text. I'm hoping you haven't really left yet. Also realize that not all criticism is bad. If you sit back, relax, and think about what JT512 really is asking, you will see he is actually trying to help you. His simple question (which is not that simple) is an important one. I'm curious, could you state the following you hope to address with your survey: The goal of your "research" is: The objective(s) of your research question is (are): Your testable hypothesis is: Your statistical design is: Your intended analysis method is: Every one of these questions should be known before you make your survey. I guess if this is just for an intro probs and stats class, you might be able to get away without knowing them...
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dscow1980
Mar 17, 2011, 3:36 AM
Post #139 of 144
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Thank you for your help, I honestly feel like you are the first person who has shown an actual interest in helping me. You know I actual do not know the answers to all of these questions but before I put together another survey I will definitely keep those questions in mind. You see, this project is not due for another month. At this stage of the project we only needed to establish a null hypothesis and simply pick out our research objective. My objective is to determine the percentage of climbers, who have been climbing more than two years, who have climbed a 5.12, either in the gym or outdoors. Either is fine. Either sport or trad, if outdoors, is fine. Some of the things I have not considered are what I mean by "climb" it exactly. Apparently that can mean several things, anywhere from redpointing, to hangdogging, to whatever else. To be honest I don't know all the climbing jargon so when people talk in climbing lingo I have no idea what they are talking about. I suppose if you have lead a 5.12, either in the gym or outdoors (sport or trad) even if you have had a couple breaks (either do to physical exhaustion or mentally trying to pump yourself up for the next 10 feet) I would count that. I wasn't clear in my first survey what counts and what doesn't. This is an interesting topic to me additionally because I am curious to know where I am at in my climbing performance compared to how long I have climbed. This is important to me not for bragging rights but beacuse climbing is a passion of mine and if I am towards the back of the pack, comparatively, I want to know so that I can work harder to improve. Additionally it would help me in setting realistic goals to shoot for in regards to climbing.
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jt512
Mar 17, 2011, 3:42 AM
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dscow1980 wrote: At this stage of the project we only needed to establish a null hypothesis and simply pick out our research objective. My objective is to determine the percentage of climbers, who have been climbing more than two years, who have climbed a 5.12, either in the gym or outdoors. Your objective, as stated, is an estimation problem, not a testable hypothesis. I still don't understand why you are doing a survey to "establish a null hypothesis." Perhaps the reason you feel you need to do research to establish a null hypothesis is that you are trying to force an estimation problem into a hypothesis testing framework. Jay
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dscow1980
Mar 17, 2011, 3:46 AM
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Actually Jay it was in the instructions given to me by my instructor. It said we could research it online and come up with a null hypothesis or we could take a sample of 10 people from our population to establish a null hypothesis. You have to understand this is an intro to stats class taught at a community college to people who mostly hope to get into nursing school or the equivalent. It is by no means a graduate level course or anything or the like.
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dscow1980
Mar 17, 2011, 3:51 AM
Post #142 of 144
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Although I will say I have certainly learned a lot about statistics today. I actually think it is an interesting topic.
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jt512
Mar 17, 2011, 4:35 AM
Post #143 of 144
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dscow1980 wrote: Actually Jay it was in the instructions given to me by my instructor. It said we could research it online and come up with a null hypothesis or we could take a sample of 10 people from our population to establish a null hypothesis. You have to understand this is an intro to stats class taught at a community college to people who mostly hope to get into nursing school or the equivalent. It is by no means a graduate level course or anything or the like. Well, I'm still confused as to how a survey leads to a null hypothesis, or why anyone would "establish" a null hypothesis in the first place. It is generally the alternative hypothesis that we are interested in. That's why the alternative name for the alternative hypothesis is the research hypothesis. The null hypothesis is kind of just an artifact of classical hypothesis testing: we try to "prove" the alternative hypothesis by showing that the data are inconsistent with the null hypothesis (which is pretty fucked up, but that's another story). Now, I can see how a survey can lead to an alternative hypothesis; that is, a research question we want to pursue. The process of using weak (but cheap) study designs (perhaps like an informal internet survey) to generate "alternative" hypotheses to be tested using more rigorous methods is routine in scientific research. For example, we might use a survey that asks people about their dietary habits and whether they have ever had a heart attack, to see if there are any correlations between specific dietary factors and heart disease. Based on the results, we might formulate a hypothesis that a certain food group is protective of heart disease, and test that hypothesis in a rigorous manner, say, a controlled clinical trial, in which we randomize subjects to two study diets: one high in the food group and one low. We could follow the subjects for, say, five years, and then statistically test whether there was a significant difference in heart attack rates between the two groups. But notice that in the above example it is the alternative hypothesis that motivated the research, not the null hypothesis. So, this is why I'm confused about why your instructor would suggest doing a preliminary survey to formulate a null hypothesis rather than an "alternative" hypothesis (or even why (or how) you would research a null hypothesis on the internet). Jay
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LostinMaine
Mar 17, 2011, 11:08 AM
Post #144 of 144
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dscow1980 wrote: You know I actual do not know the answers to all of these questions but before I put together another survey I will definitely keep those questions in mind. Don't feel bad. Most people who start writing a Master's thesis can't answer them the first time they are asked, either. However, if you really want to understand statistics (not just ace a stats course), everything you do should relate back to these questions.
In reply to: At this stage of the project we only needed to establish a null hypothesis and simply pick out our research objective. My objective is to determine the percentage of climbers, who have been climbing more than two years, who have climbed a 5.12, either in the gym or outdoors. I guess what confuses me is whether you are interested in climbers who climb 5.12 or the time it required to climb 5.12 from those who have reached that threshold. Why are you not interested in sub 2-year climbers? Try something like this... Ho: There is no lead grade difference between "new climbers" (defined as less than 2 years on the rock) and "veteran climbers" (defined as greater than 2 years on the rock). Ha: Veteran climbers have led harder routes than new climbers Be cautious, though, that how your phrase the null and alternative force you into a specific type of analysis. In this case, I might expect to perform a 1-tailed t-test between two climbing populations where I expect the difference to lie on only one side of the population mean.
In reply to: This is an interesting topic to me additionally because I am curious to know where I am at in my climbing performance compared to how long I have climbed. This is a percentile question rather than a testable hypothesis, as Jay mentioned.
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