A revolver has a variable number of chambers, from 1 to ten million. You're in a crowd of people being offered $1 million dollars to take a shot, the deal will only be given to the person willing to go with the lowest number of chambers.
What's your bid?
Does your answer change if the prize is $1 billion? If so, why?
Considering that I'm at a 20x the risk of dieing of heart disease or stroke by the time I'm 50 years old (yeah diabetes and a family history of heart disease and stroke) I'd take the 1 in 10 chance that I'd catch a bullet.
A revolver has a variable number of chambers, from 1 to ten million. You're in a crowd of people being offered $1 million dollars to take a shot, the deal will only be given to the person willing to go with the lowest number of chambers.
What's your bid?
Does your answer change if the prize is $1 billion? If so, why?
Since I'm not going to be the lowest bidder, I chose never.
A revolver has a variable number of chambers, from 1 to ten million. You're in a crowd of people being offered $1 million dollars to take a shot, the deal will only be given to the person willing to go with the lowest number of chambers.
What's your bid?
Does your answer change if the prize is $1 billion? If so, why?
Since I'm not going to be the lowest bidder, I chose never.
A revolver has a variable number of chambers, from 1 to ten million. You're in a crowd of people being offered $1 million dollars to take a shot, the deal will only be given to the person willing to go with the lowest number of chambers.
What's your bid?
Does your answer change if the prize is $1 billion? If so, why?
Since I'm not going to be the lowest bidder, I chose never.
A revolver has a variable number of chambers, from 1 to ten million. You're in a crowd of people being offered $1 million dollars to take a shot, the deal will only be given to the person willing to go with the lowest number of chambers.
What's your bid?
Does your answer change if the prize is $1 billion? If so, why?
Since I'm not going to be the lowest bidder, I chose never.
So did everyone else. You lose.
I dunno about that. A_B took one chamber. He'd win, well untill he pulled the trigger.
A revolver has a variable number of chambers, from 1 to ten million. You're in a crowd of people being offered $1 million dollars to take a shot, the deal will only be given to the person willing to go with the lowest number of chambers.
What's your bid?
Does your answer change if the prize is $1 billion? If so, why?
Since I'm not going to be the lowest bidder, I chose never.
A revolver has a variable number of chambers, from 1 to ten million. You're in a crowd of people being offered $1 million dollars to take a shot, the deal will only be given to the person willing to go with the lowest number of chambers.
What's your bid?
Does your answer change if the prize is $1 billion? If so, why?
Since I'm not going to be the lowest bidder, I chose never.
So did everyone else. You lose.
I dunno about that. A_B took one chamber. He'd win, well untill he pulled the trigger.
does he/next of kin get the money still if he shoots himself? time to figure out how to get onto the will....
A revolver has a variable number of chambers, from 1 to ten million. You're in a crowd of people being offered $1 million dollars to take a shot, the deal will only be given to the person willing to go with the lowest number of chambers.
What's your bid?
Does your answer change if the prize is $1 billion? If so, why?
Since I'm not going to be the lowest bidder, I chose never.
So did everyone else. You lose.
I dunno about that. A_B took one chamber. He'd win, well untill he pulled the trigger.
does he/next of kin get the money still if he shoots himself? time to figure out how to get onto the will....
A revolver has a variable number of chambers, from 1 to ten million. You're in a crowd of people being offered $1 million dollars to take a shot, the deal will only be given to the person willing to go with the lowest number of chambers.
What's your bid?
Does your answer change if the prize is $1 billion? If so, why?
Since I'm not going to be the lowest bidder, I chose never.
So did everyone else. You lose.
I dunno about that. A_B took one chamber. He'd win, well untill he pulled the trigger.
does he/next of kin get the money still if he shoots himself? time to figure out how to get onto the will....
Never. I don't like to play games such as this. The risk is not worth the reward at any odds.
So you're telling me you don't take actions involving monetary gain that have a non-zero chance of killing you?
I'm telling you that any time someone goes JT512 and twists a single point into the most extreme example then that person is behaving unreasonably.
Have I held a job? Yes. Would I put a gun to my head at ten billion to one to earn all the money in the world? No. Ten trillion to one? No. Ten whatever is next to one? No.
A revolver has a variable number of chambers, from 1 to ten million. You're in a crowd of people being offered $1 million dollars to take a shot, the deal will only be given to the person willing to go with the lowest number of chambers.
What's your bid?
Does your answer change if the prize is $1 billion? If so, why?
Since I'm not going to be the lowest bidder, I chose never.
So did everyone else. You lose.
I dunno about that. A_B took one chamber. He'd win, well untill he pulled the trigger.
does he/next of kin get the money still if he shoots himself? time to figure out how to get onto the will....
Never. I don't like to play games such as this. The risk is not worth the reward at any odds.
So you're telling me you don't take actions involving monetary gain that have a non-zero chance of killing you?
I'm telling you that any time someone goes JT512 and twists a single point into the most extreme example then that person is behaving unreasonably.
Have I held a job? Yes. Would I put a gun to my head at ten billion to one to earn all the money in the world? No. Ten trillion to one? No. Ten whatever is next to one? No.
Could you provide some rationale? I mean, it's pretty ridiculous to claim that you don't take worse odds for far less than all the money in the world.
Never. I don't like to play games such as this. The risk is not worth the reward at any odds.
So you're telling me you don't take actions involving monetary gain that have a non-zero chance of killing you?
I'm telling you that any time someone goes JT512 and twists a single point into the most extreme example then that person is behaving unreasonably.
Have I held a job? Yes. Would I put a gun to my head at ten billion to one to earn all the money in the world? No. Ten trillion to one? No. Ten whatever is next to one? No.
Could you provide some rationale? I mean, it's pretty ridiculous to claim that you don't take worse odds for far less than all the money in the world.
I'm not motivated like that? Life is more than just money and death? Shoot, I wasn't willing to take N/A's deal either.
Never. I don't like to play games such as this. The risk is not worth the reward at any odds.
So you're telling me you don't take actions involving monetary gain that have a non-zero chance of killing you?
I'm telling you that any time someone goes JT512 and twists a single point into the most extreme example then that person is behaving unreasonably.
Have I held a job? Yes. Would I put a gun to my head at ten billion to one to earn all the money in the world? No. Ten trillion to one? No. Ten whatever is next to one? No.
Could you provide some rationale? I mean, it's pretty ridiculous to claim that you don't take worse odds for far less than all the money in the world.
I'm not motivated like that? Life is more than just money and death? Shoot, I wasn't willing to take N/A's deal either.
Well, I guess I'm confused considering you even already said you have worked in the past. During the requirements of that job (such as showing up and the transportation involved in it), you certainly faced worse odds than, say, one in one trillion squared. Essentially, you could choose odds that would not be above your background levels of death. It is, however, just a more tangible risk that our brain can interpret more easily. Perhaps that is actually the problem.
Moreover, if you had one billion dollars, it's not like you're going to suddenly become an investment banker that thinks of nothing but money and markets. You will, however be infinitely more free to do whatever your heart wants to do.
A revolver has a variable number of chambers, from 1 to ten million. You're in a crowd of people being offered $1 million dollars to take a shot, the deal will only be given to the person willing to go with the lowest number of chambers.
What's your bid?
Does your answer change if the prize is $1 billion? If so, why?
I put one in ten, mainly because it is snowing here again.
It is, however, just a more tangible risk that our brain can interpret more easily. Perhaps that is actually the problem.
No, it's different. Natural risks inherent to everyday life, even if one chooses "risky" hobbies/lifestyles, is different than a situation with defined odds and a binary outcome where you're choosing to gamble between money and death.
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